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dc.contributor.authorWhitehead, N. E.
dc.contributor.authorUlusoy, U.
dc.contributor.authorAsahara, H.
dc.contributor.authorIkeya, M.
dc.date.accessioned2019-12-13T06:25:28Z
dc.date.available2019-12-13T06:25:28Z
dc.date.issued2004
dc.identifier.issn1561-8633
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-4-463-2004
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11655/18116
dc.description.abstractThis article examines retrospective public-supplied precursor reports statistically, and confirms published hypotheses that some alleged precursors within 100 km and within a day prior to the large 1995 Kobe and 1999 Izmit earthquakes, may be valid. The confirmations are mostly at the p<0.001 level of significance. Most significant were alleged meteorological and geophysical precursors, and less often, animal reports. The chi-squared test used, for the first time eliminates the distorting effects of psychological factors on the reports. However it also shows that correct reports are diluted with about the same number which are merely wishful thinking, and obtaining more reliable data would be logistically difficult. Some support is found for another published hypothesis in which other precursors occurred within the ten days prior to the earthquake.
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherEuropean Geosciences Union
dc.relation.isversionof10.5194/nhess-4-463-2004
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subjectGeology
dc.subjectMeteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
dc.subjectWater Resources
dc.titleAre Any Public-Reported Earthquake Precursors Valid
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.relation.journalNatural Hazards And Earth System Sciences
dc.contributor.departmentFizik Mühendisliği
dc.identifier.volume4
dc.identifier.issue3
dc.identifier.startpage463
dc.identifier.endpage468
dc.description.indexWoS


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